About YouGov At the heart of our company is a global online community, where millions of people and thousands of political, cultural and commercial organizations engage in a continuous conversation about their beliefs, behaviours and brands. The latest seat projection by polling guru Professor John Curtice – based on four polls held from 9 April and 22 April – shows the party on only 63 … Voting intention for the Scottish parliamentary election – both constituency (first-past-the-post) and list/regional (additional member system). The fall in the polls could hamper hopes of claiming a majority in the elections which would have been used as justification for seeking a second referendum vote. It is the latest in a series of polls in the last few weeks to record a narrow Yes lead after a slight dip in support for independence at the start of the year. The New Statesman's Scottish election forecast model. Polling and Projections Poll Analysis: YouGov 2nd – 4th of May 2021 ... An SNP MP attempting a move to the identically named Scottish Parliament constituency has led to this by-election. Elections 2021: Scottish voters less enthusiastic about independence referendum in next 5 years - Sky News poll. In January, the SNP proposed an 11-point roadmap for holding a second referendum if they secure a majority in the Parliament. Professor Sir John Curtice. ", Gaston Fébus and the thrills of the chase, Peggy Seeger: “Ageing is a process of watching yourself decompose slowly”. The Prime Minister is fond of an excuse, and in recent days he has resorted to using covid yet again. By continuing to use this website, you consent to our use of these cookies. May 2021. Support for remaining part of the UK is … During the last election in 2016, the SNP fells two seats short of an overall majority in the Scottish Parliament. Over the past month, an average of the polls … Since then, First Minister Nicola Sturgeon has been engaged in a bitter conflict with former SNP leader Alex Salmond over sexual harassment claims against the latter. It is the first time in 22 consecutive polls that a Yes vote has not been favoured. 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POLLING guru John Curtice has warned Nicola Sturgeon support for both the SNP and independence is falling ahead of the crucial Scottish Parliament election next Thursday. The prime minister’s Conservative Party stands to gain at the polls on Thursday, despite ethical accusations against him. Many opinion polls were conducted about Scottish independence before the referendum and then during the campaign. Key changes over time. ITV’s Tonight programme commissioned Savanta ComRes to carry out the survey on attitudes to the Union in England, Wales, Scotland and Northern Ireland. The most recent ten polls conducted widen that gap to 47 per cent opposed and 44 per cent in favour. Scottish voters will also vote for regional members of the Scottish Parliament with polls similarly showing a significant gap between the SNP and the second-place Conservatives. THE latest poll on Scottish independence found a seven-point lead for people wanting to leave the Union. Latest Polls. Professor John Curticestated in January 2012 that polling had shown support for independence at between 32% and 38% of the Scottish population. Independence Polling EU 2019 Election . The latest 10-poll average puts the party on 49.4%, well ahead of the second-placed Tories on 21.7%. In the aftermath, Mr Salmond went on to form his own independence party, Alba, which is also contesting in today's Scottish election. Get the New Statesman’s Morning Call email. Savanta ComRes carried out a poll for a hypothetical Scottish independence referendum from April 16 to April 20. The SNP, which has governed Scotland since 2007, is, Members of the Scottish Parliament can be elected as either constituency or regional (“list”) representatives. Explore the latest YouGov polling, survey results and articles about Scottish independence. … Since early-2020, support for Scottish independence had overtaken opposition, with the Yes vote securing a 8 per lead in average polling numbers in October last year. In 2014 Scotland voted by a clear majority to stay in the UK, with 55.3 per cent of ballots cast against independence leaving and 44.7 per cent cast in favour, but the most recent polling average now shows the situation reversed. The Telegraph values your comments but kindly requests all posts are on topic, constructive and respectful. Support for Scottish independence has fallen, according to a new poll which also shows a rise in the number of Scots who believe the SNP is “divided”. The results come as a significant change in people's views on independence. THE latest poll on Scottish independence found a seven-point lead for people wanting to leave the Union. As our Scottish independence poll tracker shows, this election is expected to prove pivotal. Latest polls The Sunday Times poll by Panelbase, 28 April 2021 - 30 April 2021 Sunday Herald poll by BMG Research, 27 April 2021 - 30 April 2021 Self-Funded or Unknown poll by ComRes, 23 April 2021 - 28 April 2021 Scotsman poll by ComRes, 23 April 2021 - 27 April 2021 Scot Goes Pop poll by Panelbase, 21 April 2021 - 26 April 2021 . Though that doesn’t mean it’s infallible, it should prove an effective barometer of what Scottish public opinion will look like in May. 7th April: SNP retains strong lead as independence dominates voters’ concerns; 25 February: Support for Scottish independence falls back; 2 December: SNP dominates Scotland’s political landscape ahead of May elections; 14th October: Record public support for Scottish independence; Event. Scottish Labour is projected to win 24 seats, the same number the party won in the last Holyrood election, with the Scottish Tories coming third with … !function(){"use strict";window.addEventListener("message",(function(a){if(void 0!==a.data["datawrapper-height"])for(var e in a.data["datawrapper-height"]){var t=document.getElementById("datawrapper-chart-"+e)||document.querySelector("iframe[src*='"+e+"']");t&&(t.style.height=a.data["datawrapper-height"][e]+"px")}}))}(); This time, it is the main reason why an independence referendum cannot take place. Our tracker on Scottish public opinion shows that since the middle of 2020, a consistent majority of Scots with an opinion have backed independence. Scottish independence . Members of the Scottish Parliament can be elected as either constituency or regional (“list”) representatives. Among younger voters there is the most support for independence and it is only among those aged 65 plus that the majority back staying in the union. But growth in support for the Scottish … Pro-independence parties tipped for big majority in Scottish election poll. In October last year, their polling numbers averaged at around 54 per cent. About YouGov At the heart of our company is a global online community, where millions of people and thousands of political, cultural and commercial organizations engage in a continuous conversation about their beliefs, behaviours and brands. Opinion polls show a sustained decrease in support for Scottish independence but SNP are still the favoured party in the 2021 election. Each elector may cast two votes: one for their constituency, a second for their region. Constitutional questions have dominated the Scottish election campaign.
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